Nottinghamshire supporters may be forgiven a bit of gloating after stealing the FLt20 limelight and basking in England's Ashes win. (First published on ESPN Cricinfo Supporter's Network)
"Any danger of anyone actually giving us a game in this
season's T20?" I shot off into the Twittersphere.
"It's OK, you'll bottle it eventually," came a
jealous response from a Leicestershire-supporting mate.
There's an uncharacteristically arrogant swagger amongst us
Notts fans right now, five games into the T20 season, as four comfortable wins
have fired the Outlaws into second in the North Group, with two games in hand
on Lancashire. We are now seen as the team to beat and, if the opening
fortnight is anything to go by, the Outlaws may as well put in a request to the
tournament organisers that they change the rules to a 20/18 format, just to
give the opposition a chance.
Okay, the cockiness may have gone too far now. Although for
proof, Notts have only needed a maximum of 17.4 overs to chase any target this
season, and that was a blistering 184 in the season's opener against the Foxes.
At the heart of the superb start to the season is the return
as captain of Australia's David Hussey, who for the past ten years has been a
great servant to the club. Any T20 fan will know what he is capable of with the
bat and, indeed the ball, however it's his leadership that marks him out as a
top player.
The field seems to know what to do and where to be in every
situation, there isn't the need for him to talk to the bowler about what he
wants from every ball (an increasingly annoying habit amongst some captains),
and you can tell younger players such as James Taylor, Alex Hales and Jake Ball
learn from his calm approach each game.
I have to admit, I was one of the many moaners that thought
the two-game England T20 series against New Zealand was pointless. And although
only one really got played, I shifted my views in a drastically different
direction when I saw how Hales and Michael Lumb played in the first match
against Leicestershire. That one international game has given Hales back his
belief, having scored a good 39, but it also got Lumb's T20 eye in before the
domestic competition started, and his form since has been outstanding.
Lumb capped off an excellent opening fortnight with 96 from
52 balls against Durham, the highest-ever score from a Notts player in this
format. Though Lumb was initially disappointed that he didn't get his ton, he
effectively won the match with the knock.
As for Hales, his rotten season seems to have turned around
with a couple of decent innings in the competition. As an international and
domestic opening companion for Lumb, dislodging either of them is a daunting
task for any bowling attack.
Due to their distinctly average form in the County
Championship, it seems likely that Notts will only be challenging in the
one-day competitions. Questions may be raised in the coming weeks if the
four-day form doesn't turn around - last week's game ending in a draw against
Surrey was the fifth on the bounce. Enough to stay up, you'd expect, but not
quite the Championship challenge the club was hoping at the start of the
season. This week's game against Warwickshire is a chance to turn their
mediocre form around.
Whether T20 momentum can translate into the other formats
remains to be seen but the positive innings in recent weeks would have done
them the world of good.
It would be remiss of me to not mention, as a Notts fan, the
small matter of the opening Ashes Test at Trent Bridge. Of course there was
Nottinghamshire interest in Messrs Swann and Broad but, as we saw, the
atmosphere was phenomenal, the cricket was superb and the tension was, at
times, unbearable. The city was transformed this week because of cricket and it
is down to Notts to now pick up where the England boys left off.
The seats have been warmed with crowds of over 7,500 in the
FLt20 against Leicestershire and the YB40 against Sussex - in which a superb £1
advance ticket offer was taken up by thousands - and the five days of the Test
were a sell-out. So, apologies for the smugness, but a club should be applauded
when it is going well. As Trent Bridge bathes in sunlight this week, let's hope
Nottinghamshire can bask in the limelight once more.
The concern over the
top three will become more vociferous should they continue to fail, but when
the rest of the team keeps digging in and doing the business with the ball,
Notts look good to continue their fine form. (First published on ESPN Cricinfo Supporter's Network)
I enter through the back door to get into the fan's forum on
day two of the County Championship game against Surrey. Late as usual, I arrive
just in time to see an old lady take to her feet, glaring at Notts coach Mick
Newell. "Why can't our openers bat?" she asks, bluntly.
Fair point, I think to myself, as Newell begins to explain
how the openers need to find a bit of form, how they haven't got it quite right
so far this season, before adding that we actually haven't been blessed with
200-run opening partnerships since the days of Gallian and Bicknell.
It is a growing concern, that aside from an excellent knock
of 81 from Ed Cowan against Sussex and Michael Lumb's superb 135 last week
against Yorkshire, the top three have just three scores of over 50 between them
in the previous eight County Championship innings.
Alex Hales' form is obviously the standout blip in the team.
On a wicket that saw 1,120 runs in Scarborough, Hales was out for a duck in the
first innings, and just 5 in the second. He is currently averaging 11.83 in 12
innings in the County Championship, and there are growing calls from some fans
to push Hales down the order to find some form. I'm backing him to do so soon -
he has been proven to do it in the past, and it was good to see Cowan saying
Hales has the backing of the dressing room to come good soon.
But while Hales still has a way to come, there are a few
players who have really kick-started their season in recent weeks.
Where better to start than Samit Patel, whose magnificent
innings of 157 against Sussex was complemented with a couple of wickets and
extremely tight bowling on the fourth day to secure the draw for Notts. That
game was Patel's finest this season, and though he has scored higher this
season (256 against Durham MCCU), his first innings knock came at a crucial
time - Notts had lost their first three wickets cheaply, and Chris Jordan was
ripping through the batting order as if they weren't there.
And while Patel may not have a great average when it comes
to bowling this season, the wickets he's taken have been vital - he's claimed
Luke Wells on 59, Gary Wilson on 49, and Gareth Batty on 41 in recent weeks,
showing he is certainly the first option to throw the ball to when the seamers
are struggling with batsmen who are staying put.
Another allrounder who has continued to shine is Paul
Franks. I made a point in my previous blog on how he has lingered in the second
XI for large parts of the season, but since the England boys have departed he
has been one of Notts' star men. He's shown his class with the ball and added a
superb 78 against Sussex meaning he is now averaging above the likes of Chris
Read and Hales. As Stuart Broad and Graeme Swann look set to be gone for the
most part of the season, Franks and Harry Gurney have really stepped up to the
mark - a special mention should also be inserted here for Gurney, who, against
Sussex, took Notts' first hat-trick since 2006.
Finally, the mercurial talent of Ajmal Shahzad has finally
flourished over the past month. I think it's fair to say he has faced some
murmurs of unease in the stands of Trent Bridge since his signing in the
winter. I've even heard someone describe him as the "Balotelli of
cricket", which, despite making me laugh, is hugely unfair. But no-one can
criticise his efforts in the opening parts of the season, and though he didn't
start convincingly, he's shown in recent weeks the class that Notts brought him
into the club for. He's taken three wickets in each of the last three innings,
and hit an excellent 56 against Sussex, including a hundred partnership with
Patel, which suggests he is also finding form with the bat.
So, many reasons to be cheerful as a Notts fan currently.
Unlucky to not claim the win against table-toppers Sussex, a good draw against
Yorkshire on a flat pitch, five wins from five in the YB40 and coping well in
the absence of the England stars. Questions will become more vociferous should
the top order continue to fail, but when the rest of the team keeps digging in
and doing the business with the ball, Notts look good to continue their fine
form.
After a shaky start in
the Championship and a perfect opening to the YB40, one-day cricket could be
Notts' best chance of silverware this season. (Published for ESPN Cricinfo
Supporter's Network)
They say three is a
magic number, and last Sunday saw Nottinghamshire pull off their very own hat
trick, as they made it three wins from three matches in the YB40, leaving them
top of Group A and finding themselves pondering whether the one-day format could
be the way to go this season.
Mick Newell said
prior to the start of the season that the County Championship was still the
priority, but judging on performances in that format compared to those over the
past week, fans may rightly be thinking that the best chance of silverware this
season may be in the limited-over competitions.
What was so pleasing
last week was the ease in which runs seem to be coming - one only has to
observe how fine innings from the ever-impressive James Taylor, consistent
Samit Patel, super-smashing Alex Hales and steady Riki Wessels have all guided
the Notts side to victory in the YB40.
Juxtapose that
against the long haul of the four day Championship and, as a team, they have
struggled to find any consistency on good batting wickets in their opening
three games - shown by the winning margins of Middlesex and Durham - nine and
six wickets respectively.
Obviously when you
mention how well the top order have been doing so far, some bloke next to you
will inevitably turn to you and say that "it means zilch if the bowlers
can't bowl, young man."
Fortunately for said
bloke, we've seen the perfect complement so far with the Notts bowlers all
chipping in when they need to. Jake Ball has bowled tightly and picked up
valuable wickets, Swanny has inevitably shown his class coming back from
injury, and Stephen Mullaney's four wicket haul against Kent is arguably the
performance of the season in all formats so far.
Of course the
four-day competition is still the one most counties would like to excel in, but
I do not see any reason how this talented all-round Notts side could not be
serious challengers in the one-day formats. And why not relish it? It's been 22
years since they have had any real success in a limited over competition - if
you count the 1991 Refuge Assurance League as a success - and you'll have to go
back a couple more years to find Notts' name at the top of the pile in the
Benson & Hedges Cup. They came close in 2008, but since then a finals day
in the T20 competition in 2010 has been the closest they've come.
With the Ashes
contingent soon to depart, I fear this Notts side may not have enough to
challenge in the County Championship, but the strength they've shown in the
opening week of the YB40 suggests to me that they can succeed even without the
likes of Swann, Cowan and Broad.
It says a lot about
the team's form when the only outstanding concern you can point out is the form
of Michael Lumb, who, having had a decent spell at the Big Bash, promised
bigger things in our one-day competition, but has so far stuttered to scores of
just 5, 11, and a duck on Sunday. I'm confident he'll turn it around soon, but
so far his saving grace is his magnificent 123 against Durham in the County
Championship, albeit those efforts were in vain.
Maybe I'm getting
carried away with the start Notts have had in the YB40, and maybe we fans
should say a collective thank you to Messrs Duckworth and Lewis for their
algorithmic assistance to help with the victories against Worcestershire and
Kent. But remember this time last season, when we'd just lost to a Scotland
team who claimed what became their only victory in the whole season?
This season has
started at a lightning pace for Nottinghamshire, and at this early stage in the
season there is plenty of reason to be optimistic, in the one-day format at
least, for the team to carry on as they've begun and become genuine title
contenders.
The
appointments of Terry Connor and Keith Curle as manager of Wolves and Notts
County respectively this February meant that for the first time in English
football, there were four black managers across the 92 league clubs. A victory
then, for diversity and equality campaigners? Not quite. Because while the
proportion of black footballers now reaches up to 25%, the percentage of black
managers still stands at a paltry 3%. ANDREW BUTLER reports on whether it does
matter if you’re black or white.
Ask a fan to name the Premiership’s best ever black
football players and they will reply with an illustrious list; Drogba, Henry,
Makelele, Ince, Ferdinand.
However, if you asked the same question but about black
managers, you will be left with raised eyebrows, thoughtful squinting and chin
stroking, before they say, “Oh, who was that guy that chewed the cocktail
stick? Jean Tigana!”
The super fan should be able to recall Ruud
Gullit’s spell at Chelsea, before going on to say that Paul Ince and Chris
Hughton were given no time to impress at Blackburn and Newcastle.
Keith Alexander’s arrival at Lincoln City was
supposed to herald a dawning of black managers in the leagues – the first
generation of black footballers had now come through their playing careers, and
wanted to turn their hand to management.
That was in 1993.
The late Alexander’s son, Matt, believes that while
the absence of racism in society has improved, the lack of development in the
number of black managers are telling.
The 30-year-old continues: “There needs to be more
black managers, not only for the numbers but for what they bring to a club.
Every manager has their own different abilities, different backgrounds and
different ways of doing things.
Matt Alexander - now chief scout at Notts County
“Most black managers would come from a different
side of things. In all walks of life people can learn from different styles,”
claims Alexander, now working as chief scout at Notts County FC.
The trailblazing path Alexander had forged has
dimmed since the mid 1990’s, shown by the number increasing to just three at
the end of the 2011/12 season, with Chris Hughton, Chris Powell and Keith Curle
flying the withering flag, after Terry Connor’s sojourn into management was
brought to an end following relegation – and replaced with the relatively
unknown Norwegian Ståle Solbakken.
The hard facts show that whilst there has been a
huge influx in the past 30 years of black players into the English leagues, the
number of managers has not been reflective of this trend.
Former director of Football Unites, Racism Divides,
Howard Holmes, says the issue of the lack of black managers is the last period
of racism in football to be tackled.
“It still remains a serious issue. You look at the
number of black players compared to the number of black managers, and there’s
got to be a lot of questions as to why that is.
“You get people black managers that have taken the
courses, done all the necessary steps and then you get managers who turn up
without having done courses at all. Having just three black managers does not
do credit to the English league at all,” says Holmes.
History
The biggest problem facing black managers in the
professional game comes from the history of racism in the English leagues. The
past season saw the racism debate rears its ugly head once again with high
profile cases involving Luis Suarez and John Terry, and instances in the lower
leagues are still being reported regularly.
Indeed, this is a far cry from the constant
barrages of abuse that led John Barnes to have to kick bananas from the pitch,
or Garth Crooks to endure seeing racist posters from opposition fans, or Paul
Canoville having to hear abuse from even his own support.
League Manager’s Association chief executive
Richard Bevan says the game is heading in the right direction.
Bevan adds: “It is clear that since the 1960s and
1970s, football has made major steps forward in eradicating racism from the
pitches and terraces of football.
“This process could be shown as stages in a journey
towards a point where roughly the same proportion of football managers are
black as football players. It starts from the terraces, then eradication of
racism on the pitch, then into management.”
The historical nature of racism has no doubt harmed
the willingness of black players to go into coaching. One may have expected
that since the influx of black players happened in the 1970’s and 1980’s, we
should have seen this generation in management already. However the LMA report
into the issue identifies the ‘lost generation’ of black coaches that have
failed to find league employment.
Institutionalised
racism?
‘If all your gatekeepers are white, it will always
be hard for a black person to come through to these key roles,’ so said former
FA chairman Lord Triesman last year. The hierarchy of football is another major
sticking point when looking into why there is a lack of black managers.
Holmes feels it is institutionalised racism that is
holding back black players into becoming managers.
“The boardroom is probably the most prominent place
holding back black managers coming into positions of authority. Why aren’t
there more black people in positions of authority? There’s still only one black
person sitting on the 100-strong FA Council.
“You could call the lack of black managers the last
bastion of racism in football. The game’s still got a long way to go before it
can call itself truly free from all forms of racism.”
The stereotypical viewpoint of boardrooms being
old, conservative and white may be increasingly outdated, but there is still
merit to this claim. If the number of black managers is causing an issue, the
number of black people in any position of authority at a football club is
possibly even more worrying.
This is a view supported by ex-Chelsea striker Jimmy-Floyd
Hasselbaink, who is now first team coach at Nottingham Forest.
“If the people interviewing for the jobs are from
the older generation are not giving interviews to black managers, then it is
wrong. However, if black managers are not applying for a job, then this is a
different matter,” says the former Dutch international.
“If the boardrooms are from the older generation,
we must realise that a lot of white people in the 1970’s didn’t have black
friends.
“In football, the majority of clubs go for people
that they know. That’s how it works. If they don’t have anybody in that circle
that is black, then it’s unlikely that black managers will come in.”
Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink explains his view on coaching
Lack of
success
As with all major shifts in perception, adoption
and acceptation, time is what is required. However, it is time that some black
managers feel they are not getting.
Bevan notes that it is telling most black managers
in the last 10 years have been in their first job, stating: “There have been
five black managers who have managed in the Premier League, these include Ruud
Gullit, Jean Tigana, Paul Ince and Chris Hughton.
“The only black managers from the United Kingdom to
have been appointed to an English Premier club are Paul Ince and Chris Hughton.
It’s striking that none of the managers have as yet established themselves as
long-term Premier league football managers.”
Many feel that once one black manager has had a
long spell at a top Premiership club, perceptions may change. Chris Hughton is
the most likely to take up this mantle, having been assistant manager at Spurs,
as well as manager at Newcastle, and now Norwich.
Veteran broadcaster Colin Slater has been working
in the game for over 50 years, and feels it is a problem that lies at the top
of the game, and not one you can observe in the lower leagues.
“If it seems to be
the case that clubs at the higher levels are reluctant to appoint black
managers, lower league clubs do not seem to find this a problem. The career ofKeith Alexanderis
the best proof of this.
“He was a popular and respected
figure in the game and came near to achieving real success.
“Other black former players have
also had their chances but have not lived up to huge – probably too high –
expectations. Notable among these isPaul Incewho
has been at many clubs without coming anywhere near his success as a player.”
However the argument that black managers on a whole
are unsuccessful are based on false premises. A closer look at the history of
black managers throughout the English league shows most have enjoyed periods of
success at their respective clubs. [See panel]
The Glass
Ceiling Effect
Despite the major incursion of black players to the
English leagues in the past 30 years, the number that have gone into coaching
following it has not followed this trend. From the 1,300 coaches that hold the
UEFA B license – one below professional standard – only 4.8% are black.
Hasselbaink explains that this may not be a problem
to do with race.
“Many players do not want to become coaches. You
have a lot of players who say they don’t want to be in football because it’s
long hours. Everybody thinks it’s easy but it’s not.
“Players who have just finished their career want
freedom to do what they want. If you continue into coaching or management,
you’re still being dictated your time.”
Ex-Torquay and Brentford manager Leroy Rosenior
said that there is a ‘glass ceiling’ effect for black managers in the game. The
effect allows black coaches to get to a certain level of management, without
being able to get the top job.
Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink - the legendary striker is now assistant manager at Nottingham Forest
However Hasselbaink
feels this theory can only go a certain way to describe the difficulties, as
there would be no point in trying to manage if black coaches were the subject
of a glass ceiling.
“I want to achieve the
highest of the highs as a manager. If I believed there was a ceiling, then it
would be better for me not to compete. You just have to give the job to the
right person.
“If I thought there
was something holding me back, there would be no point in getting out of bed in
the morning.”
It is a view supported
by Alexander, who sites examples where management roles have become colour
blind.
He says: “You look
here at County we’ve got Keith Curle. I didn’t know him that well before he
came to the club, I knew he was a good coach and he did well with everyone
around him.
“It wasn’t until he
came here that I saw that he could be green and he would be a successful
manager. He’s just that type of person. He brings positive people around him
and he makes everyone around him feel good.
“I don’t care whether
you’re black, white, green or yellow, it’s irrelevant. If you bring that
quality to the table it doesn’t matter.”
A real
problem?
It is quite clear that the lack of black managers
is an area that has been identified by many in the higher echelons of the game
as being an issue that needs to be addressed. However for the regular fan in
the stands, it seems as if though this is not an issue at all.
After surveying 105 people on the issue, 61% stated
that it did not matter to them whether the manager was black or white, but
rather they just wanted the best man for the job. [See panel 2]
Does this mean then, that for the majority of
football fans, it is not seen as a major issue? Therefore is it something that
only bureaucrats and authorities feel should be dealt with?
Towards a
solution
Highlighting the problems surrounding the lack of
black managers shows the depth of the issue. However when you ask anyone within
the game what to do about it, you find yourself left with a resounding, “I’m
really not sure. It’s tricky.”
One way to solve the problem is to encourage
organic growth in the numbers. The evidence for improvement has already been
apparent, with 23% of coaches enrolled on all coaching courses from a black and
ethnic minority. This, alongside a £3 million government grant solely to
encourage black coaches into the game when the National Football Centre opens
later this year, should mean that from grassroots level up, there will be a
change.
A way forward? Notts County now have a number of black coaches
For Holmes, this is the best solution.
“We have to force the authority’s hand in some
ways, and the best way to do this is to get coaches trained. More money
obviously means more black coaches will be able to get trained up.
“We need to raise the awareness of it as well.
Education, awareness and money are the most important things in addressing this
issue.”
For Alexander, a radical overhaul of the archaic
system of selection is what is required.
He claims: “The only way things are going to change
is if a black player – someone who has earned millions from the game – buys a
club.
“I remember speaking to my dad about this, and he
said this would be the only way to change things. I know if my old man won a £5
million lottery, £4.9 million of it would go on buying a club. He’d be running
it, managing it and he’d be kit man.”
But with the dawn of
foreign ownership, it seems as if the stereotypical hierarchy has already been
shaken – yet the situation for black managers has stayed the same.
Rooney Rule
Forget Wayne, the only
Rooney many black managers are concerned with is Dan Rooney. The owner of the
NFL’s Pittsburgh Steelers was the first to notice that in American Football,
something must happen to encourage more black general managers. Therefore in
2002 it was legislated that at least one black candidate had to be interviewed for
a management vacancy at any NFL franchise.
“The Rooney rule is so
polarising in American Football, but it has undoubtedly made an improvement for
equality,” states Holmes.
“Over there you’re
either for it or against it. Here there’s more of a consensus to take measures
to change behaviour in society. It would definitely have a chance to work in
the English game, but it would need to be adapted from the NFL.”
The number of black
coaches in the NFL rose from 6% in 2002 to 22% in 2008, and saw the first black
coach to win a Superbowl, after Tony Dungy took his Indianapolis Colts to a
famous win in 2007. The theory behind the Rooney rule without doubt increases
equality, but some have questioned whether it is just positive discrimination.
Others question the merit it would have in English football.
Alexander is unsure
about how this could be implemented.
“American football and
English football are totally different things. Anyone that has been in football
knows that it is unlike anything else in the world.
“Don’t get me wrong,
we could use parts of the Rooney rule, but we have to devise our own way of
doing things over here.”
The Rooney rule is the
only solution for many campaigners to increase the number of black managers.
But what do the fans think? The survey found that just 12% thought a Rooney
rule would be appropriate, and there should be no reason for the preferential
treatment of black managers.
The lack of black
managers is without doubt an issue that needs to be resolved in the modern
game. Football is one of the shining examples of how racism can be removed from
many factions of the game, but the disproportionate number of black managers is
certainly worrying – especially given the distinct lack of progress that has
been made over the past 20 years.
Whether or not a
Rooney rule, or similar, will be implemented, it is clear that the situation is
not easily resolved – perhaps the reason why a viable solution has not been
available as yet. When it comes to an answer to the lack of black managers, we
are all left with raised eyebrows, thoughtful squinting and chin stroking.
"Your role will be invisible. By that we mean we expect you to do your job so efficiently that people won't even notice you're there. The events will run like clockwork."
This was one of the first pieces of information we were given as Games Makers during training prior to the Olympics.
OK, it's hard to be invisible in a completely distinct purple and red tracksuit, but we understood what they meant - our roles, however unglamorous or difficult, will be out of the eye of spectators, athletes, and officials.
However, perhaps the only part of the Olympics the organisers didn't judge quite right was the reaction and impact the Games Makers were going to have over this summer of sport - it exceeded all expectations of how much the Games Makers would be noticed across the Olympic venues.
Who would have though they would receive a standing ovation at the closing ceremony? Who would have thought there would be a Royal Mail stamp recognising their service - thus putting them alongside the likes of Hoy, Ennis and Farah?
The service of the volunteers even brought Eddie Izzard to tears.
Now, I'm not interested in theorising about whether or not this is the Big Society in action (as I said to a journalist who asked me) - I like to think this sort of thing transcends petty political point scoring. I've been part of sports clubs throughout my life and I understand how vital volunteering is to any grassroots level sport.
No, it's not the Big Society in action (not least because I had my first interview prior to the 2008 election), but it shows how when people pull together for a common cause, they can achieve something magnificent.
Will we ever see anything like it again? Like the Olympics, probably not. But whilst one can dwell on the past, it's always better to care for the present to make a brighter future. The ground work has been done and it is up to normal people around the country to get stuck in. Volunteer anywhere - sports clubs, shops, community groups. It works.
However, you may have to accept that your role will be invisible.
It was last weekend when a mate of mine pointed out to me: "Butler, wherever you move, the football team always gets worse."
He provided me proof and evidence of the statement, and I had to agree. I think I'm a curse on the football teams I follow and support.
Let's look at the evidence:
1989-2005 - East London era
I grew up in East London, Forest Gate followed by Walthamstow. I'm an avid Leyton Orient fan, and during this time they spent the first six years in Division Two. Not bad, but in 1995 Orient were on the brink of bankruptcy, after chairman Tony Wood lost his tea-making money in the Rwandan genocide. This led to relegation, and sitting in the duldrums of fourth division football for 11 years.
2005-2010 - The Southampton years
I moved down to Southampton with my family in 2005. At my new school, my new mates would joke that I supported Orient, a club very few had heard of. I would try to defend myself, and in fact would joke with them that in 'a couple of years we'd be playing you (Southampton)'. Incredibly, the first year I moved down to the South coast, the Saints were relegated from the Premiership, after a 13 year stint there.
Fast forward a year, and lo and behold Leyton Orient, the area I had left, got promotion for the first time in 11 years. Just one division between O's and Saints, and my prediction soon became an incredible reality, as Saints were relegated at the end of the 2008-09 season, to League One.
2008-2011 - Oxford, the university era
Probably the only area to buck this trend. Oxford, who ironically Orient relegated at the same time as they got promoted in '06, were langushing in the Conference until the end of the 2010 season, when they got promoted. The only time I went to see Oxford United play was at the end of the the 2010-11 season, when they actually beat Lincoln 2-1.
2010-present - Nottingham
My family moved up from Southampton to Nottinghamshire in February 2010, with immediate impact. Southampton, in League One for two seasons, got promoted at the end of last season, and are now flying high at the top of the Championship. But what about the clubs I now live around? Well, Nottingham Forest, who had finished 3rd and 6th in the respective previous seasons, now lie 20th in the Championship - having lost two managers (Billy Davies and Steve McClaren) in the past 12 months.
Notts County? Fair slightly better, though just avoided the drop last season.
So, in conclusion. Where am I now? Still in Nottingham - Orient lying stable in League One, Southampton flying high in the Championship, and Oxford in the play-off places in League Two.
If anyone from Nottingham wants to have a whip-round and pay for me to leave the city, feel free.
Nottingham Forest fought back from 2-0 down and grabbed a last minute equaliser to claim a point against Sheffield United Reserves at Ilkeston.
The Blades had the better of the early exchanges with Erik Tonne and David McAllister both having shots saved by Karl Darlow.
The pressure told after nine minutes when Erik Tonne's cross was not dealt with by Danny Meadows, who allowed Danny Philliskirk to nick the ball from him and calmly slot home from six yards.
Forest did little to fight back and the away side should have doubled their lead four minutes later, as a through ball from Seamus Connelly found Chris Porter in the area, but he shot well over from 12 yards.
The home side's first chance of the game came on 15 minutes, when David McGoldrick found himself in space 18 yards out, but he couldn't direct his shot on target.
Forest came within inches of an equaliser on 22 minutes, as Andy Reid struck the post from a free kick on the edge of the box after Paul Anderson was fouled.
However it was the Blades who increased their advantage on the half hour, after Porter brought down a cross from the left unchallenged, and having wriggled away from two challenges the ex-Derby man fired in from ten yards.
Forest looked to reduce the deficit and enjoyed more possession as half time loomed, and again struck the post on 41 minutes. David McGoldrick did well to shake off Johnny Ertl on the left, coasted into the area and his curling shot came off the inside of the left hand upright.
The second half saw the game open up and chances came and went at both ends in the early stages.
United should have out of sight within the first ten minutes of the second period, as Philliskirk was played clean through but his shot was well saved by Darlow, and moments later Erik Tonne had a shot blocked from 6 yards after neat interchanges around the edge of the box.
The host's once again hit the woodwork on 61 minutes, though slightly fortuitously as Reid's cross from the left deflected off the top of the bar, and McGoldrick's shot was blocked as the ball was played back in.
Forest looked increasingly more dangerous and finally grabbed a goal on 74 minutes, as David McGoldrick fired low past George Long into the bottom right corner from 15 yards after Danny Meadows squared the ball back.
However in the closing stages it looked like the Blades would increase their lead, as Chris Porter was once again played clean through but his effort was well saved by Darlow, and a minute later Philliskirk's goalbound effort was deflected wide.
Forest had a great chance to draw level in the 89th minute as Patrick Bamford sprang the offside trap, but his effort was hit straight at Long.
There was one last twist in the tail however. When Bamford was fouled 25 yards out, McGoldrick stepped up and curled a delightful effort into the top right corner three minutes into stoppage time.